Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026?
InflationOne-OffHealth & MedicineTrade PolicyLatin AmericaCentral BanksMacro & EconomyEconomy2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 1:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 54.2%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 3:51 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Brazilians are better off overall compared to January 1, 2026 across three dimensions: economic conditions, health, and employment.
- Resolution will be based on official data from credible sources including the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the Central Bank of Brazil, and international organizations (IMF, World Bank, OECD).
- Economic indicators: Real GDP growth, inflation rate, real wages, and household purchasing power measured via official statistics.
- Health indicators: Life expectancy, infant mortality, healthcare access metrics, or disease prevalence data from Brazil's Ministry of Health or WHO.
- Employment indicators: Unemployment rate, employment levels, labor force participation, and wage growth from IBGE.