Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 1:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 81.2%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 11, 26, 5:16 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
The Bay Area Rapid Transit system is facing a fiscal cliff, and there is going to be a ballot measure to raise taxes in the Bay Area to pay for it.
- BART is claiming that if they do not get extra funding, they will close 10 stations in January 2027.
- Resolves YES if two or more stations close in 2027.
- These closures must be indefinite (so a temporary closure to perform maintenance would not count).
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.