Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.6%
Forecasters
63
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 20, 26, 1:18 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
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PolymarketRules
Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if:
- Martial law is active during voting hours
- It has been declared by someone with authority to do so
- This applies to any part of America
- The declaration can be for any reason
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections? resolve?
- Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if: