Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsElection2026 US Midterms7d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.4%
Forecasters
66
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 20, 26, 1:18 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if:
- Martial law is active during voting hours
- It has been declared by someone with authority to do so
- This applies to any part of America
- The declaration can be for any reason