KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 20, 2029 44.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 20, 2029 44.5%Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$563.3
Open interest
$43.7K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingOct 15, 26, 2:28 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 20, 2029
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
France declares state of siege (martial law) by which date?
PolymarketWill any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsTrump declares nationwide martial law?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Manifold MarketsMartial Law declared in USA by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump impose term limits on Congress?
KalshiRules
If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsNBC
- For the purposes of this market, ‘martial law’ shall mean the suspension of civil authority and the imposition of military control over designated regions as declared by the President of the United States or Congress. The Payout Criterion does not include mere designation of military control over a specific property, such as for the opening of a new military base.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.