Will any of the 89 Russian regions leave Russia (Will any region fully separate from Moscow by) ..? - 1250 Mana on YES
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBetween 2036 and 2045 18.1%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 19, 25, 4:17 AM UTCDec 1, 50, 2:43 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Will any of the 89 Federal Subjects of Russia de facto leave Moscow's control before June 2026?
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point the named outcome / January 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2035, 2050 any of the 89 Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation permanently or semi-permanently leaves the de facto control of the central government in Moscow.
- The 89 Federal Subjects
- This market encompasses all 89 regions currently claimed by the Russian Federation as defined in its constitution and listed here: Wikipedia: Federal subjects of Russia.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_subjects_of_Russia
- (rus: Субъе́кты Росси́йской Федера́ции (субъекты федерации) - название территориальных единиц верхнего уровня - регионов в Российской Федерации. Согласно Конституции России, Российская Федерация является федеративным государством и состоит из 89 равноправных субъектов)
