Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93%
Forecasters
213
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 17, 23, 7:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:00 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The detonation must include a nuclear component.
- The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.