Will any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.7%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 14, 25, 6:11 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:
- 1) the proposed individual traded on Manifold at least once;
- 2) the proposed individual has been deported from the US;
- 3) the proposed individual is in CECOT or a prison with a similarly poor human rights record outside of the US.