Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2029?
PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.4%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 16, 26, 5:47 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?
PolymarketWill an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
Manifold MarketsAnthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the whole Senate vote to find Anthony Fauci in contempt of Congress before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Dr. Anthony Fauci is formally arrested, booked, or self-surrenders and is processed by federal, state, or local law enforcement in connection with criminal charges at any point before January 1, 2029 (12:00 AM UTC).
- It will resolve to NO if no such arrest, booking, or processing occurs by the deadline.
- For the purposes of this market, an indictment, criminal referral, subpoena, or congressional contempt citation without a subsequent physical arrest, taking into custody, or formal booking/processing by law enforcement will not suffice for a YES resolution.
- The outcome will be verified using reports from reputable national news outlets such as the Associated Press or Reuters.
- In 2026, political and legal scrutiny surrounding Dr. Anthony Fauci's tenure as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) escalated.