Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 10:26 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Dr. Anthony Fauci is publicly and credibly confirmed to have passed away on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- It will resolve to NO if he remains alive on January 1, 2028 (UTC).
- The market will resolve based on announcements from official family representatives, or reports from major, reputable news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or The New York Times).
- Dr. Anthony Fauci (born December 24, 1940) is an American physician-scientist and immunologist who served as the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) from 1984 to 2022.
- He also served as the Chief Medical Advisor to the President from 2021 to 2022.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028 resolve?
- Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria