Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 10:26 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
PolymarketWill an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
Manifold MarketsWill the whole Senate vote to find Anthony Fauci in contempt of Congress before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Dr. Anthony Fauci is publicly and credibly confirmed to have passed away on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- It will resolve to NO if he remains alive on January 1, 2028 (UTC).
- The market will resolve based on announcements from official family representatives, or reports from major, reputable news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or The New York Times).
- Dr. Anthony Fauci (born December 24, 1940) is an American physician-scientist and immunologist who served as the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) from 1984 to 2022.
- He also served as the Chief Medical Advisor to the President from 2021 to 2022.
