Current community forecast
Yes 74.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJun 19, 26, 8:41 PM UTCAug 15, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Andy Burnham be PM at the time the next UK general election is announced?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Burnham say "goon" before the next UK general election?
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PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Andy Burnham is the official Leader of the Labour Party on the polling day of the next United Kingdom general election.
- This market will resolve to NO if anyone other than Andy Burnham is the official Leader of the Labour Party on that day.
- Definitions and Details:
- "Next general election" refers to the next UK parliamentary general election following the July 2024 election.
- Legally, this must take place no later than August 15, 2029.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election? resolve?
- Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2029.
- How is Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria