Current community forecast
Yes 77.1%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJun 24, 26, 7:32 PM UTCAug 15, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Andy Burnham is not PM before October 1st 2026, resolves no.
- If Andy Burnham officially still holds the office of PM (even pending resignation period) on the date that the next UK general election is announced, resolves yes.
- Otherwise, resolves no on the date Andy Burnham leaves office.