Will all pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals cause all AI infrastructures to defunct before 2050?
GeopoliticsOne-OffAIRegulationSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.2%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 4:24 AM UTCDec 31, 49, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, prior to January 1, 2050 (23:59:59 UTC), actions, rulings, or enforcement measures originating from pseudo-legal or sovereign citizen self-declared "international tribunals" directly cause the complete cessation or defunct status of all global artificial intelligence infrastructure (including major public/commercial data centers, compute clusters, and cloud AI hosting networks worldwide).
- This market resolves to NO if:
- As of January 1, 2050, global AI infrastructure remains operational.
- Global AI infrastructure becomes defunct due to other causes (e.g., global power grid failure, state-level military conflict, cyberwarfare, natural catastrophe, or recognized sovereign government actions) rather than sovereign citizen tribunals.
- Only a subset of AI infrastructure becomes defunct while other major systems remain operational.
