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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?
[Metaculus] Will a non-test Anti-Satellite (ASAT) weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?
Nuclear weapon used offensively in 2026
A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
New nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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