Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
California 9 99%Leader of 68 outcomes
California 9 99%Forecasters
113
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Feb 8, 25, 2:10 AM UTCDec 2, 26, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Each option provisionally resolves once both the New York Times and Decision Desk HQ (or, if those become defunct, other reliable sources) call the race and do not retract the call for 24 hours.
- Final resolution will be according to certified results.
- Whether a candidate is "a Democrat" is determined by the party affiliation displayed on the ballot (being a Dem as one party on a fusion ticket counts.)
