KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: LA-01 (99%)
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 11:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
LA-01
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 10, 2026, 12:54 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
LA-061%
LA-0298%
LA-0499%
LA-01Won
LA-03Lost
LA-04Lost
LA-02Lost
LA-05Lost
LA-06Lost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Louisiana Secretary of State
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
