Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAK-AL 34.7%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 26, 10:15 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PredictItRules
Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections
- Resolves based on the relative order of the time the AP calls each race: Last (slowest) resolves to 100% 2nd slowest resolves to 80% ... 5th slowest resolves to 20% 6th slowest or faster resolves to 0%
- A race is considered called when the AP projects a winner for the seat (by the timestamp to the minute on the AP elections results page).
- Runoff elections, recounts, RCV, and legal challenges to ballots are all valid reasons for a delay.
- Only districts listed here as options will be considered when determining the relative order of the last races to be called.
- If the last race to be called is not listed in this market, it will not be considered for resolution.
