Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCA-22 30.2%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 26, 10:15 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections
- Resolves based on the relative order of the time the AP calls each race: Last (slowest) resolves to 100% 2nd slowest resolves to 80% ... 5th slowest resolves to 20% 6th slowest or faster resolves to 0%
- A race is considered called when the AP projects a winner for the seat (by the timestamp to the minute on the AP elections results page).
- Runoff elections, recounts, RCV, and legal challenges to ballots are all valid reasons for a delay.
- Only districts listed here as options will be considered when determining the relative order of the last races to be called.
- If the last race to be called is not listed in this market, it will not be considered for resolution.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms?
- Manifold Markets prices CA-22 at 30% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms resolve?
- Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections