What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMinnesota (50% to 60%) 54.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 25, 26, 8:12 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to YES if the Democratic nominee gets more than the higher number, resolves NO if less than the lower number, and resolves to % in the range otherwise.
- For example: Minnesota(50% to 60%)
- If the Democratic nominee receives 52.00%, resolves to 20%.
- If the Democratic nominee receives 59.79%, resolves to 98% (97.9% rounded).
- If the Democratic nominee receives 64%, resolves yes.
- I will be adding more states soon.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)?
- Manifold Markets prices Minnesota (50% to 60%) at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range) resolve?
- What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range) is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to YES if the Democratic nominee gets more than the higher number, resolves NO if less than the lower number, and resolves to % in the range otherwise.