Who will win the Arizona Attorney General Election?
1.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection8d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastKris Mayes 84.1%+1.1ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.8 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 2, 26, 11:39 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's attorney general election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Arizona Attorney General Election Winner · Kris Mayes (D) 83%
- Also available on Kalshi — Arizona Attorney General winner? · Kris Mayes 83%