Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMayes Middleton 89.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 16, 26, 2:36 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Ken Paxton declined to seek reelection as Texas Attorney General.
- Both parties' March 3 primaries went to runoffs scheduled for May 26, 2026.
- The Republican runoff is between State Sen. the named outcome (39% in the primary) and U.S. Rep. the named outcome (32%).
- The Democratic runoff is between State Sen. the named outcome (48%) and former Galveston Mayor the named outcome.
- The general election is November 3, 2026.
- Resolves to the winner of the 2026 Texas Attorney General general election.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Mayes Middleton at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026? resolve?
- Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Ken Paxton declined to seek reelection as Texas Attorney General.