Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastGavin Newsom 15.3%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
108
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJun 13, 23, 10:07 AMNov 30, 28, 9:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gavin Newsom15%
Also available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
22%
17%
16%
+10 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
2y
3.6%
1.3%
1.8%
+58 more outcomes
Community forecast479 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$260.1K
24h Vol$251.2
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
2y
1.7%
0.6%
1.1%
+27 more outcomes
Community forecast42 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$19.6K
24h Vol$114.1
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
2y
3.1%
-0.4%19.2%
0.8%
+18 more outcomes
Community forecast577 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$553.5K
24h Vol$1.4K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2y
+0.2%3.6%
0.6%
-0.1%1.6%
+97 more outcomes
Community forecast1,973 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
2y
19.2%
14.8%
13%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast32 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$9.8K
24h Vol$91.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
2y
13.8%
3.8%
1.6%
+44 more outcomes
Community forecast146 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$73.2K
24h Vol$102
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.