Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 4:34 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastOther 33.7%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
112
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 13, 23, 10:07 AM UTCNov 30, 28, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 21%
- Also available on Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 21%
- Also available on Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 21%
- Also available on Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 ·
