Current community forecast
Yes 85%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 2, 24, 10:20 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 85% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029? resolve?
- Will the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.