Will Tinubu win another election to remain President of Nigeria?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Tinubu win another election to remain President of Nigeria??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 81% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Tinubu win another election to remain President of Nigeria? resolve?

Will Tinubu win another election to remain President of Nigeria? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will Tinubu win another election to remain President of Nigeria? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The election does not have to meet any standards of free/fair, but the result has to stick (judged by me).

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KALSHI

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• Democratic Party91.2%
• Republican Party8.9%

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$79.7M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.7M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+2.0pt93.1%
• Republican Party-2.0pt6.9%

Total Vol

$27.1M

24h Vol

$2.6M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt27.2%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt6.8%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott-3.0pt63.5%
• Gina Hinojosa+3.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$9.5M

24h Vol

$1.9M

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