Current community forecast
Reform UK 63.5%+43.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 4:42 AMDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Reform UK64%
Volume trend
$737Jul 82d of dataJul 9
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the party whose candidate is elected at the second Clacton by-election held between 8 July 2026 and the date of the next general election.
- If no such by-election takes place, this market will be voided.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be changed as necessary.
- To bet on the result of the first by-election, see this market: