Which party will win the national popular vote in the 2028 presidential election?
2.8 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party 91.8%+2.8ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.8 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 26, 11:13 PM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves to the party of the presidential candidate with the most votes nationwide in the November 7, 2028 election, using certified first-preference vote totals from the 50 states and DC.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
