Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Oregon's 5th District?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party 76.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 26, 3:19 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsOregon's 5th District margin of victory
KalshiOregon's 6th District margin of victory
KalshiRules
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in Oregon's 5th District: whichever district is numbered 5 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 5.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.