Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Texas's 1st District?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican Party 97.6%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 26, 3:29 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in Texas's 1st District: whichever district is numbered 1 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 1.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.