Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 87%
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 26, 5:50 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt58.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva40.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $153.3M
- 24h Vol
- $967.8K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep+0.3pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $223.1M
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-5.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $33.2M
- 24h Vol
- $600.7K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.9pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Total Vol
- $34.5M
- 24h Vol
- $564.5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 87% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Election? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- Where else is Which Party will win the 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Election? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.