Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Nebraska's 1st District?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms23dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican Party — Mike Flood 81.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 6:04 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mike Flood win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Chris Backemeyer win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Eric Moyer win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Austin Ahlman win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Nebraska's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Idaho's 1st District?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
