Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 77.5%-4.9pt
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-4.9 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Mar 2, 26, 5:29 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Florida Gubernatorial Election Winner
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ForecastExWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 78% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial election? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.