Which of the following counties will have an inbound maritime oil delivery disrupted by a military attack prior to 2028?
GeopoliticsCommodities1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
India 91.4%Leader of 10 outcomes
India 91.4%Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+39.7 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 24, 4:43 AM UTCJan 2, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
Manifold MarketsWill Lake Powell dip below elevation 3,490 ft, which is “minimum power pool” prior to May 1 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?
PolymarketRules
Oil tanker must be attacked with a military weapon en-route to deliver oil to the country in question.
- I won’t bet.
- Might add more countries later.