Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Spain 99%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 21, 26, 8:43 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK legislate to replace FPTP for general elections?
Manifold MarketsThere will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1]
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the name of the European country with a general/national election scheduled or planned for 2027 that holds its election first (earliest calendar date), starting from the market creation date.
- Eligible countries are the 4 big EU countries that will have a presidential/parliamentary election in 2027 or earlier if called.
- France: Presidential election (the first round of voting, or any snap legislative election if called earlier).
- Spain: General legislative election (Congress of Deputies / Senate).
- Poland: Parliamentary election (Sejm / Senate).
