Current community forecast
No 89.1%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleSep 9, 23, 2:30 PM UTCSep 16, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a UK General Election in 2027?
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PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRules
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2027 (AI summary of creator comment)
Open markets
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $545.4K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] resolve?
- There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2027.
- How is There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2027 (AI summary of creator comment)