Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Christopher Luxon 93.7%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 23, 10:37 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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KalshiRules
Resolves to all leaders of a party represented in Parliament.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day??
- Manifold Markets prices Christopher Luxon at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day? resolve?
- Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to all leaders of a party represented in Parliament.