What are the current odds for Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Democratic Party at 61% as of September 9, 2026.

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Politics US Politics Election2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Democratic Party 60.6%

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

217

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+0.1 pts

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 8, 24, 6:22 AM UTCNov 10, 28, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Futuur

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Limitless

Rules

Can close when the winner is called by AP, Economist, and other major media outlets.

This removes the individual person risk.

Report a data issue with this market

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Politics US Politics Election2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Democratic Party 60.6%

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

217

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+0.1 pts

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 8, 24, 6:22 AM UTCNov 10, 28, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?

Manifold Markets

Which US political party will be the more "pro-AI" party at the time of the 2028 presidential debates?

Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?

Futuur

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Limitless

Rules

Can close when the winner is called by AP, Economist, and other major media outlets.

This removes the individual person risk.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028??: Manifold Markets prices Democratic Party at 61% as of September 9, 2026.
When does Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028? resolve?: Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2028.
How is Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Can close when the winner is called by AP, Economist, and other major media outlets.

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Frequently asked questions

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