Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 15, 2026, 6:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastUSA 46.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 days ago
StaleApr 26, 24, 3:42 AMJan 1, 31, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
USA46%
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Resolution based on Credible News Reports.
- A Military Space Station is a structure in a stable orbit (of Earth or other celestial bodies) with onboard military personnel.
- Relevant Tweet:
- [tweet]Market Resolution by the end of this decade.
- After which the Resolution date could be extended if any credible reports of future plans of this nature exist.
- This Market is for speculation on future events, the past attempts of Soviet Union in building such infrastructure will not count towards Resolution.