Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastUSA 46.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 26, 24, 3:42 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRules
Resolution based on Credible News Reports.
- A Military Space Station is a structure in a stable orbit (of Earth or other celestial bodies) with onboard military personnel.
- Relevant Tweet:
- [tweet]Market Resolution by the end of this decade.
- After which the Resolution date could be extended if any credible reports of future plans of this nature exist.
- This Market is for speculation on future events, the past attempts of Soviet Union in building such infrastructure will not count towards Resolution.