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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Which country will build the first Military Space Station?
Manifold Markets

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineChina4y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
USA 45.4%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters

25

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Apr 26, 24, 3:42 AMJan 1, 31, 6:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

USA45%

Rules

Resolution based on Credible News Reports.

Manifold Markets
  • A Military Space Station is a structure in a stable orbit (of Earth or other celestial bodies) with onboard military personnel.
  • Relevant Tweet:
  • [tweet]Market Resolution by the end of this decade.
  • After which the Resolution date could be extended if any credible reports of future plans of this nature exist.
  • This Market is for speculation on future events, the past attempts of Soviet Union in building such infrastructure will not count towards Resolution.

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Rules

Resolution based on Credible News Reports.

Manifold Markets
  • A Military Space Station is a structure in a stable orbit (of Earth or other celestial bodies) with onboard military personnel.
  • Relevant Tweet:
  • [tweet]Market Resolution by the end of this decade.
  • After which the Resolution date could be extended if any credible reports of future plans of this nature exist.
  • This Market is for speculation on future events, the past attempts of Soviet Union in building such infrastructure will not count towards Resolution.