Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 67.9% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030? resolve?

Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve 'YES' if there is at least one person occupying a space station built and put into orbit by a private company or group of private companies at the end of 2030.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.4pt100%
• Alibaba0%
• Amazon0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.2M

24h Vol

$62.9K

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+3.0pt55.1%
• Anthropic-3.6pt44.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 9+2.0pt98.5%
• Above 899.5%
• Above 699.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google-10.0pt61.5%
• Anthropic+5.5pt34.4%
• OpenAI+0.8pt3.1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

• Jay Z93%
• Miley Cyrus15%
• Kanye West14%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$29.9K

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 202871.5%
• Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt59.5%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt

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