Current community forecast
No 75%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 10, 23, 11:41 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?
Manifold MarketsWill the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will build the first Military Space Station?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRules
For the purposes of this market, "artificial gravity" means that an occupant of the space station can walk, similar to how they could on earth.
- I'm quite open to suggestions on how to make the resolution criteria more specific.