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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastUkraine 21%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 3:57 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
- Which country will be the #1 largest arms importer in the world in 2026, according to data published by SIPRI?
- SIPRI typically updates annual arms import figures each March with an accompanying report (the most recent report was published Mar 2026, see also Mar 2025, Mar 2024, Mar 2023).
- SIPRI's arms import figures are available on their database.
- To get the data for last year, use their Import/Export top list function with the period set to 2025-2025.