Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRussia 40%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 18, 25, 3:33 AM UTCDec 19, 35, 3:55 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
I’m just a curious guy with zero expertise related to this subject.
- RESOLUTION CRITERIA
- “Nuclear Weapon”:
- Both “normal” and tactical nukes count.
- Dirty bombs do not count.
- Bombing a nuclear plant or similar, like Zaporizhzhia, does not count.