When will the Supreme Court of Canada decide a case on Aboriginal title and private property rights?
Geopolitics4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2028 31%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 25, 26, 3:43 PM UTCFeb 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
The BC Supreme Court made a declaration of Aboriginal title over privately-owned land for the first time in 2025.
- In 2024, the New Brunswick Court of Appeal ruled in the opposite direction.
- Both cases are likely to be appealed to the Supreme Court of Canada.
- However, the SCC often denies leave to cases when it feels the time isn't yet right to decide the issue.
- This market will resolve YES for the earliest calendar year where the SCC releases a decision that explicitly addresses the conflict between Aboriginal and fee simple title.
- Deciding an appeal of one of these cases but declining to address that specific issue (i.e. deciding it on procedural grounds) does not count.
