Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?
FedOne-OffRegulationAIGeopolitics13y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 24, 9:20 PM UTCJan 2, 40, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The question of whether artificial intelligence entities can or should hold legal property rights is a developing area of debate.
- While corporations—a type of legal fiction—have long been granted such rights to facilitate economic and contractual operations, no AI system currently enjoys comparable legal recognition.
- This market asks whether the United States will grant property rights to AI entities under federal law, enabling them to own property, hold money, or conduct transactions as legal entities before 2040.
- Will the United States federal law recognize legal property rights for AI entities before January 1, 2040?
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1, 2040, the United States federal government passes legislation, ratifies a treaty, or issues an enforceable regulation that explicitly or implicitly grants legal property rights to at least one artificial intelligence (AI) entity.
- Definition of AI Entity: The entity must be a non-human artificial intelligence system explicitly recognized as eligible to exercise property rights.
