Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?
US PoliticsOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.5%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 25, 7:52 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Biden has claimed that, in his view, the Equal Rights Amendment has already been ratified as the 28th Amendment:
- https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/01/17/politics/joe-biden-equal-right-amendment
- But the Archivist previously rejected this argument:
- https://www.archives.gov/press/press-releases/2025/nr25-004
- Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what will not count as the Supreme Court "deciding the status" of the Equal Rights Amendment for the purposes of this market:
- Denying a petition for a writ of certiorari.
