Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLater 79.1%+4.1ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
107
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.1 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 9, 23, 3:35 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Mitch McConnell is the senate minority leader and has recently been having potential seizers.
- He is 81 but seems to be adament about not retiring.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Mitch McConnell retire??
- Manifold Markets prices Later at 79% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will Mitch McConnell retire? resolve?
- When will Mitch McConnell retire? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is When will Mitch McConnell retire? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Mitch McConnell is the senate minority leader and has recently been having potential seizers.