PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
No 75%
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 49%. Quotes span about 48 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 49% · 2 venues · 48 pt venue spread
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.3M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $210.3M
- 24h Vol
- $428.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30??
- PredictIt prices No at 75% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? resolve?
- Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- Where else is Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.