🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & JusticeAIGeopolitics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastcall someone retarded through text or speech 100%Leader of 201 outcomes
Forecasters
387
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 25, 2:48 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Each option resolves yes when he makes statements or actions that act as evidence
- They can be based off statements (Trump calls for...) or for actions he actually follows through on
- In the case where he cant directly do it, getting his Congress or proxy to do so will be enough
- Will make a poll for individual options if unsure
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only statements made while Trump is serving as President will count toward resolving statement-based answers; older or non-presidency quotes do not.
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory option, drone strikes count.
