Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLabour 37%-3.8ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
29
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-11.8 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 6, 25, 8:24 AM UTCAug 10, 29, 8:20 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketRules
Resolves to the party that wins the most seats at the election following the 2024 general election.
- Resolves using major media reporting, and the Wikipedia table below(example from last election).
- If 2 parties get the same amount, resolves 50-50.