Current community forecast
Yes 73.5%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleFeb 15, 26, 4:08 PM UTCAug 15, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIn the next UK general election, Will Reform UK and Restore Britain be top 2 in any seat?
Manifold MarketsWhat party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if at least one candidate standing under Rupert Lowe's Restore Britain party label is elected at the next UK general election (currently expected July 2029).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- MPs who defect to Restore Britain from another party do not count, the seat must be won at the ballot box.
- If Restore Britain merges with another party before the election, the resulting party only counts if it retains the Restore Britain name.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election? resolve?
- Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2029.
- How is Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if at least one candidate standing under Rupert Lowe's Restore Britain party label is elected at the next UK general election (currently expected July 2029).