Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLabour 35%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
May 3, 25, 6:26 AM UTCAug 15, 29, 6:18 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election
- This market will resolve to the percentage of seats for each party.
- In 2024 Labour won 411 seats (out of 650), so their answer would resolve to 63% I hope that's clear.
- If a party wins less than 1% of seats they will resolve to 0%, no rounding up in that case!
