If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLabour 59.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 26, 2:40 PM UTCAug 14, 29, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If a party has the most or second most seats following the next UK general election (currently scheduled for August 2029), resolves YES if they have the most seats, NO if they have the second most seats, and N/A otherwise.
- If two parties are tied for first or second, both resolve NO.
- The attempted purpose of this market is to determine which party one should prefer be in the top-2, if they're a progressive or lower-c conservative and want progressives or conservatives to win regardless of the specific party.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most??
- Manifold Markets prices Labour at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most? resolve?
- If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most? is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2029.
- How is If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If a party has the most or second most seats following the next UK general election (currently scheduled for August 2029), resolves YES if they have the most seats, NO if they have the second most seats, and N/A otherwise.