Texas Senate Winner by Margin of Libertarian Candidate Vote Count
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms24dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJames Talarico wins by more than the Libertarians Vote Count 42%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+17.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 26, 3:42 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Which candidate wins, and will they win with a margin larger or smaller than the Libertarian Candidates Vote Count?
- For example:
- James Talarico 5,000,000 votes
- Ken Paxton 4,750,000 votes
- Libertarian Ted Brown 200,000 votes
- It would resolve ‘the named outcome’ as his margin of 250,000 (5m minus 4.75m) is more than the 200,000 votes.
